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Home»Environment/Climate Change»UNEP Assembly: Wildfires to rise by 50% by 2100 – Report
Environment/Climate Change

UNEP Assembly: Wildfires to rise by 50% by 2100 – Report

Abdallah el-KurebeBy Abdallah el-KurebeFebruary 23, 2022Updated:February 24, 2022No Comments4 Mins Read
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…Even Arctic faces rising wildfire risk

…Wildfires and climate change are “mutually exacerbating”

By Abdallah el-Kurebe

As the United Nations Environment Assembly is billed to hold in Nairobi from February 28 2022, experts have warned that wildfires will rise by 50 percent by 2100 and called on governments to shift their investments in wildfires and focus on prevention and preparedness.

A new report, “Spreading like Wildfire: The Rising Threat of Extraordinary Landscape Fires”, released by the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) and GRID-Arendal says changes in the climate and land-use “are projected to make wildfires more frequent and intense, with a global increase of extreme fires of up to 14 per cent by 2030, 30 per cent by the end of 2050 and 50 per cent by the end of the century.”

The report, which was released before the resumed 5th session of the UN Environment Assembly (UNEA-5.2) convenes in Nairobi, between 28 February and 2 March, 2022, finds an elevated risk for even the Arctic and other regions previously unaffected by wildfires.

It called on governments to adopt a new ‘Fire Ready Formula’, with two-thirds of spending devoted to planning, prevention, preparedness, and recovery, with one third left for response.

“Currently, direct responses to wildfires typically receive over half of related expenditures, while planning receives less than one per cent,” a statement by UNEP says.

To prevent fires, the report further says, there is the need for a combination of data and science-based monitoring systems with indigenous knowledge and for a stronger regional and international cooperation.

“Current government responses to wildfires are often putting money in the wrong place. Those emergency service workers and firefighters on the frontlines who are risking their lives to fight forest wildfires need to be supported”, said Inger Andersen, UNEP Executive Director. “We have to minimize the risk of extreme wildfires by being better prepared: invest more in fire risk reduction, work with local communities, and strengthen global commitment to fight climate change”.

Wildfires have impeded progress towards the UN Sustainable Development Goals and deepen social inequalities, disproportionately affecting the world’s poorest nations.

Wildfire smoke causes respiratory and cardiovascular impacts and increased health effects for the most vulnerable people.

The economic costs of rebuilding after areas are struck by wildfires can be beyond the means of low-income countries;

  • Watersheds are degraded by wildfires’ pollutants; they also can lead to soil erosion causing more problems for waterways;
  • Wastes left behind are often highly contaminated and require appropriate disposal.

The report observed that wildfires and climate change were mutually exacerbating through increased drought, high air temperatures, low relative humidity, lightning, and strong winds resulting in hotter, drier, and longer fire seasons.

Similarly, climate change is made worse by wildfires by ravaging sensitive and carbon-rich ecosystems like peatlands and rainforests,which has turned landscapes into tinderboxes, making it harder to halt rising temperatures.

Wildlife and its natural habitats are rarely spared from wildfires, pushing some animal and plant species closer to extinction. A recent example is the Australian 2020 bushfires, which are estimated to have wiped out billions of domesticated and wild animals.

There is a critical need to better understand the behaviour of wildfires. Achieving and sustaining adaptive land and fire management requires a combination of policies, a legal framework and incentives that encourage appropriate land and fire use.

The restoration of ecosystems is an important avenue to mitigate the risk of wildfires before they occur and to build back better in their aftermath. Wetlands restoration and the reintroduction of species such as beavers, peatlands restoration, building at a distance from vegetation and preserving open space buffers are some examples of the essential investments into prevention, preparedness and recovery.

The report concludes with a call for stronger international standards for the safety and health of firefighters and for minimising the risks that they face before, during and after operations. This includes raising awareness of the risks of smoke inhalation, minimising the potential for life-threatening entrapments, and providing firefighters with access to adequate hydration, nutrition, rest, and recovery between shifts.

The report was commissioned in support of UNREDD and the UN Decade on Ecosystem Restoration. UNEP will be exploring how further investments can be made to reduce fire risks in critical ecosystems around the world.

climate change GRID-Arendal UN Environment Assembly UNEP wildfires
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